Browsing: Projection: Oscar

Projection: Oscar
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Just under five months ago, this odyssey began as almost all other Oscar odysseys begin: with a dominant frontrunner jumping out of the gate amid the three-headed monster of the fall festival circuit. In La La Land’s case, it played all three. The fall circuit is the breeding ground for Best Picture winners, and it has become increasingly prominent in recent years – you have to go back five years to find a Best Picture winner that didn’t premiere on the fall circuit (in 2011, The Artist started its run in Cannes), and La La Land ticked off all three boxes, premiering at Venice and then playing Telluride and Toronto. Ever since, the season has revolved around Damien Chazelle’s film.

Projection: Oscar
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11 days and counting. The industry has provided nearly as wide a swath of interdisciplinary opinion as we can expect. Now we wait only on the Academy. And it’s not as though there are any late-breaking developments that can impact the results over the next week-and-a-half, since nomination voting for AMPAS members closes today.

Projection: Oscar
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This week’s torrent of precursor nomination announcements has come to a close, and now we’re left with 11 barren days to await the final piece of the puzzle: the Oscar nominations. With the exception of a couple stray guilds – I’m looking at you, Motion Picture Sound Editors – we have about as complete a read on the industry at large as we’re going to get in advance of the January 24th Oscar nominations announcement. The final major revelation came yesterday, with the Directors Guild of America nominations.

Projection: Oscar
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The British Academy of Film and Television Arts – better known as BAFTA – announced its nominations today, and from the two major headlines one could cull from the announcement, it’s hard to determine which to mention first, since one particular piece of information opens a can of worms that would be difficult to shut.

Projection: Oscar
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We’ve reached that point in the season when, even while we don’t know what films will be nominated (as much as we like to pretend we do), in a handful of categories we do know the pool from which the nominees will be chosen. The field has been whittled down, to varying lengths, by individual branches for these categories…

Projection: Oscar
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As precursors continue to roll in, predictions begin to align based on a consistent pattern of mentions by various awarding groups. The weight of each group’s impact varies widely. The Golden Globe nominations, for instance, don’t impact these predictions at all. The Screen Actors Guild noms, however, do influence these lists. But one single …

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