Projection: Oscar – FINAL Oscar Predictions, 2/22/2015



Merry Christmas to you all.

The Oscars are imminently upon us, and now all this hysteria will soon come to an end. Whether that ending results in a fever pitch of shock and awe or a calm, acknowledging nod is yet to be determined – and frankly, the result depends on which side of the Oscar fence an individual falls on.

I discussed final predictions earlier this week in the latest episode of ProjectionCast, but here now is a paper trail, an indication of my relative genius or incredible ineptitude. Last year’s close race was a barnburner that was difficult to call…but somehow this year has eclipsed it.

Bottom line: no one should trust anything.

Here’s my best, final shot. And I’ll be honest…even I feel murky about some of these…

Best Picture
Will Win: Birdman
Could Win: Boyhood

Best Director
Will Win: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Birdman
Could Win: Richard Linklater, Boyhood 

Best Actress
Will Win: Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Could Win: Get real, people…. 

Best Actor
Will Win: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
Could Easily Win, Close As Close Gets: Michael Keaton, Birdman 

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Could Win: Nah…

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Could Win: Please…

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Birdman – Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Nicolas Giacobone,

Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo
Could Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel – Wes Anderson

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Whiplash – Damien Chazelle
Could Win: The Imitation Game – Graham Moore

Best Film Editing
Will Win: Boyhood
Could Win: Whiplash

Best Cinematography
Will Win: Birdman
Could Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: Ida
Could Win: Wild Tales

Best Animated Feature
Will Win: How To Train Your Dragon 2
Could Win: Big Hero 6

Best Documentary Feature
Could Win: Virunga

Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Could Win: Interstellar

Best Costume Design
Will Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Slight Chance: Into the Woods

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel
I’ve Felt It Since Nominations But Am Pivoting Away Now Foolishly: Foxcatcher

Best Original Score
Will Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Very Close: The Theory of Everything 

Best Original Song
Will Win: “Glory” from Selma
Could Win: “Everything Is Awesome” from The LEGO Movie

Best Production Design
Will Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Could Win: Nothing else.

Best Sound Editing
Will Win: American Sniper
Could Surprise: Birdman

Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: Whiplash
Could Win: American Sniper

Best Animated Short
Will Win: The Dam Keeper
Could Easily Win: Feast

Best Documentary Short
Will Win: Joanna
Could Easily Win: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1

Best Live Action Short
Will Win: The Phone Call
Could Easily Win: Boogaloo and Graham


About Author

I married into the cult of cinema at a very young age - I wasn't of legal marriage age, but I didn't care. It has taken advantage of me and abused me many times. Yet I stay in this marriage because I'm obsessed and consumed. Don't try to save me -- I'm too far gone.