Projection: Oscar – Oscar Nominations – Full List and Early Predictions

Welcome to Phase Two.

Nominations for the 88^th Academy Awards were announced today, so we now shift from the feverish, wide-open speculation over which films and performances will be nominated, to the equally-feverish, but finally curated, speculation over which films and performances will/can win. We now have 6+ weeks of parties, luncheons, and endless interviews in this final stretch of the Oscar campaign. And grousing….plenty of grousing.

Here now is a full list of the nominees in all categories, and a first shot at ranking them. As ever, the season is fluid, but here’s where stand at this moment, as far as I can tell.

Weekly updates will follow, tracking the race as Phase Two ebbs and flows.

Best Picture

1. Spotlight
2. The Revenant
3. The Big Short
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. Room
6. The Martian
7. Bridge of Spies
8. Brooklyn

Best Director

1. Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant
2. George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
3. Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
4. Adam McKay, The Big Short
5. Lenny Abrahamson, Room

Best Actress

1. Brie Larson, Room
2. Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
3. Cate Blanchett, Carol
4. Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
5. Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

Best Actor

1. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
2. Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
3. Matt Damon, The Martian
4. Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
5. Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Best Supporting Actress

1. Rooney Mara, Carol
2. Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
3. Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
5. Rachel McAdams, Spotlight 

Best Supporting Actor

1. Sylvester Stallone, Creed
2. Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
3. Christian Bale, The Big Short
4. Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
5. Tom Hardy, The Revenant

Best Original Screenplay

1. Tom McCarthy & Josh Singer, Spotlight
2. Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley, Inside Out
3. Matt Charman, Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, Bridge of Spies
4. Jonathan Herman, Andrea Berloff, Straight Outta Compton
5. Alex Garland, Ex Machina

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. Adam McKay, Charles Randolph, The Big Short
2. Emma Donaghue, Room
3. Phyllis Nagy, Carol
4. Drew Goddard, The Martian
5. Nick Hornby, Brooklyn

Best Cinematography

1. Roger Deakins, Sicario
2. Emmanuel Lubezki, The Revenant
3. John Seale, Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Edward Lachmann, Carol
5. Robert Richardson, The Hateful Eight

Best Costume Design

1. Sandy Powell, Carol
2. Sandy Powell, Cinderella
3. Jenny Beavan, Mad Max: Fury Road
4. Jacqueline West, The Revenant 
5. Paco Delgado, The Danish Girl

Best Film Editing

1. Margaret Sixel, Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Tom McArdle, Spotlight
3. Hank Corwin, The Big Short
4. Stephen Mirrione, The Revenant
5. Maryann Brandon, Mary Jo Markey, Star Wars: The Force Awakens 

Best Production Design

1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Bridge of Spies
3. The Revenant
4. The Danish Girl
5. The Martian

Best Animated Feature

1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. Boy and the World 
4. Shaun the Sheep Movie
5. When Marnie Was There

Best Documentary Feature

1. Amy
2. The Look of Silence
3. Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom
4. Cartel Land
5. What Happened, Miss Simone?

Best Foreign Language Film

1. Son of Saul (Hungary)
2. Mustang (France)
3. Embrace of the Serpent (Colombia)
4. Theeb (Jordan)
5. A War (Denmark)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

1. Mad Max: Fury Road 
2. The Revenant 
3. The 100-Year-Old-Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared

Best Visual Effects

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 
2. Mad Max: Fury Road 
3. The Martian 
4. The Revenant 
5. Ex Machina

Best Sound Editing

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 
2. Mad Max: Fury Road 
3. The Martian 
4. The Revenant 
5. Sicario

Best Sound Mixing

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 
2. Mad Max: Fury Road 
3. The Revenant 
4. The Martian 
5. Bridge of Spies

Best Original Score

1. The Hateful Eight, Ennio Morricone
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens, John Williams
3. Sicario, Johann Johannsson
4. Carol, Carter Burwell
5. Bridge of Spies, Thomas Newman

Best Original Song

1. “Til it Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground 
2. “Writing’s On the Wall” from Spectre  
3. “Simple Song #3” from Youth 
4. “Earned It” from Fifty Shades of Grey 
5. “Manta Ray” from Racing Extinction 

Best Live Action Short

1. Ave Maria
2. Day One
3. Everything Will Be Okay (Ailes Wird Gut)
4. Shok
5. Stutterer

Best Animated Short Film

1. World of Tomorrow
2. Sanjay’s Super Team
3. Prologue
4. Bear Story
5. We Can’t Live Without Cosmos

Best Documentary – Short Subject

1. Claude Lanzmann: Spectress of the Shoah
2. Body Team 12
3. Chau
4. A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
5. Last Day of Freedom